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$15 Million is a ****ty offer to Golovkin

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    $15 Million is a ****ty offer to Golovkin

    If Golovkin does anywhere close to the canelo smith numbers this is a 60/40 purse. If he beats canelo smith with jacobs it's 50/50. I explain the math below. We can all agree this ppv with canelo will do minimum 500,000 buys and sell out 100,000 tickets.

    Scenario 1- ppv does 1 million with canelo.
    PPV Buys-1 million buys at $70= 70 million dollars
    Gate-100,000 at $500 average ticket price=50 million dollars

    15/120=12.5 percent of overall revenue

    Scenario 2-ppv does 500,000 with canelo
    PPV Buys-500,000 at $70 = 35 million
    Gate is the same at 50 million

    15/85=17 percent of the revenue

    K2 isn't dumb. They know after golovkin jacobs numbers that will match the smith canelo numbers this flat fee piece of **** offer will make no sense. Now $15 million sounds a lot to the average casual dumass on NSB. K2 and GPB know the fight will do at least 500,000 buys. This fight will do close to a million. When you break the numbers down, 15 million is a terrible offer. After golovkin jacobs GPP will have no leg to stand on. Canelo and GPB are not getting rich off golovkin. Only logical choice for this fight is to do a split offer to golovkin.
    Last edited by satiev1; 12-25-2016, 12:55 AM.

    #2
    50 million gate? o rly

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      #3


      ^^ this is Golovkin during negotiations.

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        #4
        Originally posted by satiev1 View Post
        If Golovkin does anywhere close to the canelo smith numbers this is a 60/40 purse. If he beats canelo smith with jacobs it's 50/50. I explain the math below. We can all agree this ppv with canelo will do minimum 500,000 buys and sell out 100,000 tickets.

        Scenario 1- ppv does 1 million with canelo.
        PPV Buys-1 million buys at $70= 70 million dollars
        Gate-100,000 at $500 average ticket price=50 million dollars

        15/120=12.5 percent of overall revenue

        Scenario 2-ppv does 500,000 with canelo
        PPV Buys-500,000 at $70 = 35 million
        Gate is the same at 50 million

        15/85=17 percent of the revenue

        K2 isn't dumb. They know after golovkin jacobs numbers that will match the smith canelo numbers this flat fee piece of **** offer will make no sense. Now $15 million sounds a lot to the average casual dumass on NSB. K2 and GPB know the fight will do at least 500,000 buys. This fight will do close to a million. When you break the numbers down, 15 million is a terrible offer. After golovkin jacobs GPP will have no leg to stand on. Canelo and GPB are not getting rich off golovkin. Only logical choice for this fight is to do a split offer to golovkin.
        When was the last time a fighter with exactly ZERO quality (g string) got a ten million dollar offer to fight anyone?

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          #5

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            #6
            and if GGG doesnt take it he will do what???

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              #7
              Originally posted by satiev1 View Post
              If Golovkin does anywhere close to the canelo smith numbers this is a 60/40 purse. If he beats canelo smith with jacobs it's 50/50. I explain the math below. We can all agree this ppv with canelo will do minimum 500,000 buys and sell out 100,000 tickets.

              Scenario 1- ppv does 1 million with canelo.
              PPV Buys-1 million buys at $70= 70 million dollars
              Gate-100,000 at $500 average ticket price=50 million dollars

              15/120=12.5 percent of overall revenue

              Scenario 2-ppv does 500,000 with canelo
              PPV Buys-500,000 at $70 = 35 million
              Gate is the same at 50 million

              15/85=17 percent of the revenue

              K2 isn't dumb. They know after golovkin jacobs numbers that will match the smith canelo numbers this flat fee piece of **** offer will make no sense. Now $15 million sounds a lot to the average casual dumass on NSB. K2 and GPB know the fight will do at least 500,000 buys. This fight will do close to a million. When you break the numbers down, 15 million is a terrible offer. After golovkin jacobs GPP will have no leg to stand on. Canelo and GPB are not getting rich off golovkin. Only logical choice for this fight is to do a split offer to golovkin.


              The biggest live gate in history was May-Pac with $72m, and then the second largest live gate in history was May-Canelo with 20 million. If Canelo can only do 20m with Mayweather, what on Earth are the ****in chances he does 50m with the much lesser known GGG?

              There are fewer than 25 fights ever to do even $10m. It would be an amazing success if the gate does that much. Let alone $50m

              Similarly there are 25 fights that crossed $1m PPV buys and all of them involved at least one of Mayweather, Pacquaio, Tyson, Holyfield, and De La Hoya. It is doubtful whether Canelo is yet in that pantheon of PPV stardom, and GGG certainly isn't.

              GGG should make an effort to shore up whatever Canelo's team would offer them ideally with some % of the PPV revenue, but for me as a fan I just wanna see the fight. GGG squeezing out a little more money does nothing for me but if he waits too long and ends up too old to make the fight interesting it takes a lot away from what it could have been.
              Last edited by BrometheusBob.; 12-25-2016, 01:33 AM.

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                #8
                Let's look at Canelo's PPV numbers

                Canelo/Smith - 300K - earning only 3.5M
                Canelo/Khan - 600K - earning only 3.5M while Khan recived 13M
                Canelo/Cotto - 900K - earning only 5M while Cotto recived 15M
                Canelo/Lara - 315K - earining only 1.5M while Lara earned 1M
                Canelo/Angulo - 350K - earning only 1.25M while Angulo earned 750K
                Canelo/Mayweather - 2.2M - earning only 5M while Mayweather earned 41M

                So 15 million is too much even if the fight does 900K

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                  #9
                  Originally posted by larry x.. View Post
                  and if GGG doesnt take it he will do what???
                  GGG has many options. Degale fight in uk would break records and be huge. Ramirez is a big fight. chavez jr as well. Canelo can fight cotto again and another liam smith.

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                    #10
                    Did Cotto really get 15M to Canelo's 5M?

                    That's crazy, pretty sure Canelo is the bigger draw and the one who people ordered the fight to see.

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