Breaking: Canelo Alvarez Wants No Part of David Benavidez, Officially Cherrypicks 37 Year Old 154lber Terrence Crawford in September at Las Vegas. Crawford Will Move 2 Weight Classes to Fight Canelo

[crimsonfalcon07]

Canelo didnt look like an assassin with a 154 Charlo, there is intangibles in this fight, and Madrimovs style is nothing like Canelos, I think TC at ring weight of around 164 can be very competitive with a 10 pound heavier Canelo, there are things here that make this very interesting from the weight to skills to ages and career wear and tear, I will be watching and hope TC can pull it off its a huge task.

I'll be rooting for Bud also. I have for his whole career. I'm just saying he's not a legit 154 lber. He's really effectively coming up 3 divisions, not 2, since he's not settled at 154. I would rather he weigh in closer to 160. I don't really think he understands how much that extra weight is going to slow him down across 12.

His power is VERY unlikely to carry up to 168 enough to hurt the adamantium-chinned Canelo, who's taken clean shots from bigger punchers than Bud, and Bud wasn't able to hurt Madrimov, who's smaller than Canelo. So this one would have to be won on points.

Now the next thing that we know is that in order to beat Canelo, you need to seriously outwork him. Bivol threw over 700 punches, had nearly double the connects, but still only got 115-113 cards. Floyd threw only 505, but connected at a 46% rate, while holding Canelo to 22%. Canelo regularly averages over 550 a fight. Bud averages in the low 400 range over his last several fights. He's even more economical than Canelo, and that's fighting guys without the punching power of Canelo. So he's going to have to be on his bike for 12, carrying more weight and taking heavier punches, but he's going to have to up his output by at least 20 percent. And he's effectively up 3 divisions, and against a guy who's likely to be up by 3 rounds before the fight even starts. Canelo is used to fighting guys with a reach advantage AND a weight advantage, and is able to bully them anyways. And Crawford gets hit. Madrimov landed on him at 30.5% rate while holding him to 21.9%. Spence landed 20%, and 34.2% of his power punches, while getting his career ending beatdown. Even Avanesyan landed 22.4% of his power punches. Porter landed 26.5% of his power punches. Canelo landed close to 30% of his power punches vs Mayweather and Bivol, and usually lands closer to 50% of his power punches (40% vs Charlo, who was in survival mode the whole fight).

So the numbers indicate this is a very tall order for Bud, that should certainly put him in the history books if he can win. You can talk all you want about styles and skills, but Bud, as it stands, doesn't throw enough punches to outwork Canelo, and you can outwork Canelo and still lose to him if it's a small margin, because he's going to be coming forward, driving the action, and landing the more impactful shots. And Canelo has never even been knocked down, while Bud probably should have a knockdown from Mean Machine on his record. So he's very unlikely to hurt Canelo, while he's been hurt himself by a welterweight.

If he's going to do it, he'll have to do it behind a VERY active jab, on the back foot, as a southpaw. I'd prefer him to come in lighter than he did vs Madrimov (he was 169.8 on fight night, outweighing Madrimov) so he can have the foot speed and stamina to stay away from Canelo while pot-shotting every time Canelo isn't working. Canelo was weighing in at 172-4 when he was at 154. These days, he'll be in the 180's on fight night. Charlo was 172 and we saw what happened to him.

[real raw]

Crawford. The difference in skills is bigger than the difference in size.

I firmly disagree, the skill disparity isn't great (if at all).

[real raw]

Canelo has not seen anything close to Floyd including Bivol, IF Floyd could fill out 165 as TC appears to be able to Floyd would give the same boxing lesson to Canelo again, quick feet and atg IQ is always going to pose problems for Canelo, he doesnt punch really hard by being light on his feet, , he is planted and it hurts him against this type of opponent, TC has the boxing ability in both stances, he can whack hard enough to get respect and he has the feet to use angles and move, he aint going to stand in front of him because its really the only way he can lose is by getting cracked, the way to beat Canelo is brains and speed and TC has both, along with his suspect chin which is his achilles heel, its an intriguing fight I dont understand people throwing shade, its what we got and could be a lot worse so I will be tuning in.

Crawford is NOT going to whack hard enough to get respect from Canelo.