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    OMG lock it down the first omicron death was just reported in TX! Man had pre existing conditions.
    We need took it down now!!!!!!

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      Originally posted by Citizen Koba View Post

      You never heard the concept of plan for the worst hope for the best? That's all that's being said. They absolutely do not say they have 'exaggerated their predictions' (although the media have tended to jump on worse case scenarios in many cases). And you do understand that modelling has to take into account many different types of scenario even those considered unlikely?



      Graham Medley says (to paraphrase) what's the point in modelling for if things go how we hope they will? If things go well you don't need to do anything, the point of modelling is so that we know what to expect - and plan for - if things don't go how we hope. The Spectator unsurprisingly frowns upon this but it's actually completely pragmatic.

      As they point out in both your article and the actual linked paper the most likely modelled scenario is around 1000 - 2000 hospitalisations a day and maybe 5 - 600 deaths. The 6000 number is an extreme outlier worse possible case scenario... and yes extremely unlikely.

      how is it good modelling to make 5 assumptions and they are all above what actually happened, including the best case scenario?why scare people saying there could be 2 million cases a day and 6000 deaths?and what ****ing parameters did they use to make that the calculation, that its the bubonic plague and we are back in the middle ages?do u think thats good for peoples mental health or the hospitality industry? their dumbass predictions has resulted in a 1 billion bail out, this is tax payer money and taxes have gone up to pay it. they should be trying to calm people not whipping them up into a frenzy. the bad thing is you could get a boy who cried wolf scenari at some point and there actually is a mutation to worry about and noones going to listen to them cause theyve exaggerated so much. omnicron a 'horrifying variant' and 'pandemic v2.0' jesus ****ing christ, has gone out with a whimper in south africa already

      Comment


        Originally posted by TernceBudCharlo View Post

        Point is that it took many decades before people finally woke up and saw the truth

        Im not saying we are 100% sure that the vaccines are dangerous in the long term but it's really dishonest to say that we know for sure that they are, the FDA pulls THOUSANDS of drugs off the market each year because of newly discovered side effects that they didn't know about when the drug was approved yo
        the vaccines are so safe that astrazeneca have come out and said they are looking at changing their vaccine lol. a completely safe vaccine that now needs changing to make it safer

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          Originally posted by man down View Post
          OMG lock it down the first omicron death was just reported in TX! Man had pre existing conditions.
          We need took it down now!!!!!!
          we need everyone locked down, muzzles back on, boosters in arms ASAP.
          man down man down likes this.

          Comment


            Originally posted by Madison boxing View Post

            the vaccines are so safe that astrazeneca have come out and said they are looking at changing their vaccine lol. a completely safe vaccine that now needs changing to make it safer
            And JJ was safe a month ago. But it's now gone. Lol

            Comment


              On now WH briefing. You can tell all these reporters really trust the Vax as theyre wearing KN95s now lol.

              It works!

              Comment


                nice festive message from the WHO urging people to cancel xmas or 'grieve later'
                man down man down likes this.

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                  Originally posted by Madison boxing View Post
                  nice festive message from the WHO urging people to cancel xmas or 'grieve later'
                  People about to see the one death and tell them to *** off. Then see South Africa and be like wtf?

                  Comment


                    Almost everyone in the last 9 months that has died are the unvaxxed! Thats what he's saying lol.

                    So only 26% in south Africa are vaxxed the rest are dead!

                    Lol cmon this is the last mutation and it's the dominant mutation and one person has died from it. Just stop with the BS already.

                    ***** is full of fear.

                    Comment


                      Originally posted by man down View Post
                      Almost everyone in the last 9 months that has died are the unvaxxed! Thats what he's saying lol.

                      So only 26% in south Africa are vaxxed the rest are dead!

                      Lol cmon this is the last mutation and it's the dominant mutation and one person has died from it. Just stop with the BS already.

                      ***** is full of fear.
                      This post shows how dumb you are. Stay away from numbers.

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