I know folks were crying foul for Lil g being left off of Atlas's top 10 P4P list.
I hate to say it, but Teddy may have actually been too kind in mentioning Golovkin was 11.
The truth is, we don't know.
And because we don't know it IS OK to speculate that he doesn't belong at all.
We can't even speculate based on how his competition has gone on to do against other elite or near elite guys.
We don't know THAT either.
We don't know because Golovkin's best wins were against good, but not great, competition.
And, we don't know because even counting those wins is difficult because of the prior and subsequent history of those opponents.
What do I mean?
For an example (as a control) let's cite a recent P4P great, Pacquiao, using an elite opponent- Miguel Cotto.
I am the first guy to argue that Pac's victory over Cotto has a few asterisks- the weight drain, the fact that Cotto was probably still slightly damaged goods from the cement beating...
But, a look at Cotto's record after the fight with Manny makes Manny's victory a very solid argument for Pac. It was after Pac destroyed Miguel that Cotto gave Mayweather arguably the toughest fight of Floyd's career. It was after Pac's win that Cotto destroyed Maravilla (albeit a hobbled Sergio). And it was after Pac's win that Cotto suffered a very close and competitive loss to Alvarez, another acknowledged P4P guy.
You look at other Pacquiao wins and you see largely the same thing: JMM has some of his biggest wins after Pac losses. Bradley beats JMM and Provo after his first fight with Pac, then Chavez and Rios after the second one. Even Algieri- who I thought was a nobody- proves he belonged in a closely contested loss to Khan after his fight with Pac.
Now lets look at Lil g's best wins-Murray, Geale, and Lemieux
Not one of those 3 has beaten an elite or even near elite fighter since they fought Lil g. Murray has probably had the most success, but has come up short against an ancient Arthur Abraham and an inconsistent George Groves. Lemieux has yet to even try and test himself against another elite or near elite and will not be doing so his next fight with Curtis Stevens either. And Geale went on to get KTFO by an undersized Cotto (who was more dominant in his win against Geale than Golovkin was in his win) and then follow THAT up by getting KTFO by a guy with 11 fights.
That's exactly why you CAN leave Lil g off a top 10 P4P list.
He has not fought elite competition and the top guys he HAS fought have not proved to be very good post match either.
Yeah, the eye test says he might be top 5 or even 3 or even more.
But, he has to fight someone.
He is 11 years in, over 6 of those with a belt and Jacobs (who one can argue has also done it a little with smoke and mirrors) is THE BEST GUY he has ever faced- yet it is also questionable if Jacobs is truly elite.
So, we will see.
An impressive victory over Danny should help him crack the top 10 IMO.
But for some, even that will not be enough.
I hate to say it, but Teddy may have actually been too kind in mentioning Golovkin was 11.
The truth is, we don't know.
And because we don't know it IS OK to speculate that he doesn't belong at all.
We can't even speculate based on how his competition has gone on to do against other elite or near elite guys.
We don't know THAT either.
We don't know because Golovkin's best wins were against good, but not great, competition.
And, we don't know because even counting those wins is difficult because of the prior and subsequent history of those opponents.
What do I mean?
For an example (as a control) let's cite a recent P4P great, Pacquiao, using an elite opponent- Miguel Cotto.
I am the first guy to argue that Pac's victory over Cotto has a few asterisks- the weight drain, the fact that Cotto was probably still slightly damaged goods from the cement beating...
But, a look at Cotto's record after the fight with Manny makes Manny's victory a very solid argument for Pac. It was after Pac destroyed Miguel that Cotto gave Mayweather arguably the toughest fight of Floyd's career. It was after Pac's win that Cotto destroyed Maravilla (albeit a hobbled Sergio). And it was after Pac's win that Cotto suffered a very close and competitive loss to Alvarez, another acknowledged P4P guy.
You look at other Pacquiao wins and you see largely the same thing: JMM has some of his biggest wins after Pac losses. Bradley beats JMM and Provo after his first fight with Pac, then Chavez and Rios after the second one. Even Algieri- who I thought was a nobody- proves he belonged in a closely contested loss to Khan after his fight with Pac.
Now lets look at Lil g's best wins-Murray, Geale, and Lemieux
Not one of those 3 has beaten an elite or even near elite fighter since they fought Lil g. Murray has probably had the most success, but has come up short against an ancient Arthur Abraham and an inconsistent George Groves. Lemieux has yet to even try and test himself against another elite or near elite and will not be doing so his next fight with Curtis Stevens either. And Geale went on to get KTFO by an undersized Cotto (who was more dominant in his win against Geale than Golovkin was in his win) and then follow THAT up by getting KTFO by a guy with 11 fights.
That's exactly why you CAN leave Lil g off a top 10 P4P list.
He has not fought elite competition and the top guys he HAS fought have not proved to be very good post match either.
Yeah, the eye test says he might be top 5 or even 3 or even more.
But, he has to fight someone.
He is 11 years in, over 6 of those with a belt and Jacobs (who one can argue has also done it a little with smoke and mirrors) is THE BEST GUY he has ever faced- yet it is also questionable if Jacobs is truly elite.
So, we will see.
An impressive victory over Danny should help him crack the top 10 IMO.
But for some, even that will not be enough.
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