I wrote a 2 part analysis for my blog, designed to present a case for a Mosley victory. You can check it out at if you have some time. It's a very interesting fight. Tony doesn't have all his usual advantages for this one. Size, strength, toughness are a wash, in my opinion. Shane has the athletic advantage, while Tony will be throwing more shots.
Can't wait!
Here's a little of what I covered
Age- Advantage Margarito. He's 30 to Shane's 37. Not much can be argued there. I'll just say that Shane is a dedicated prize fighter, who is always in shape. Tony is a similar kind of gym rat, but he has taken more than his share pf punches over a hard career, and you never know when that can show up.
Size- Even. Some would say that Antonio is bigger, but I disagree. Sure, Mosley boiled his body down to lightweight, but he was really a welterweight during his reign. Both are 147 lbers who have dabbled in the jr middleweight division. They are also basically eye to eye.
Power- Mosley has the bigger single shot. Margarito can also punch, but not quite as hard.
Hand Speed- Mosley, without a doubt.
Foot Speed- Mosley again, though he plants his feet most of the time these days.
Body Punching- Margarito goes there more often these days. His commitment to the ribs may bring out some of Mosley's best work downstairs.
Chin and Durability- Even. There is titanium in the jaws of both men.
Output- Margarito. Though I don't think he'll be allowed to get to the number he prefers as often as he has in the past.. I trust that he'll throw more punches than Shane in every round, or close to it.
Stamina- Margarito throws more punches so I'll give it to him. Both have done great work late in fights.
Defence- Mosley. Fitting that this category is listed last, as both warriors are offensive-minded fighters, but Shane can slip slower shots when he wants to so the edge goes to him. It's quick fighters that have hit him most in the past.
The score is 4-4-2. The fight looks a lot closer than Shane getting beat up and stopped late now, doesn't it?
it'll be a tough fight but money marg will take it in a close hard fought fight. I just dont like mosley's performance against mayorga.
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