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Dissecting Margarito-Mosley

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    Dissecting Margarito-Mosley

    I wrote a 2 part analysis for my blog, designed to present a case for a Mosley victory. You can check it out at if you have some time. It's a very interesting fight. Tony doesn't have all his usual advantages for this one. Size, strength, toughness are a wash, in my opinion. Shane has the athletic advantage, while Tony will be throwing more shots.

    Can't wait!

    Here's a little of what I covered

    Age- Advantage Margarito. He's 30 to Shane's 37. Not much can be argued there. I'll just say that Shane is a dedicated prize fighter, who is always in shape. Tony is a similar kind of gym rat, but he has taken more than his share pf punches over a hard career, and you never know when that can show up.

    Size- Even. Some would say that Antonio is bigger, but I disagree. Sure, Mosley boiled his body down to lightweight, but he was really a welterweight during his reign. Both are 147 lbers who have dabbled in the jr middleweight division. They are also basically eye to eye.

    Power- Mosley has the bigger single shot. Margarito can also punch, but not quite as hard.

    Hand Speed- Mosley, without a doubt.

    Foot Speed- Mosley again, though he plants his feet most of the time these days.

    Body Punching- Margarito goes there more often these days. His commitment to the ribs may bring out some of Mosley's best work downstairs.

    Chin and Durability- Even. There is titanium in the jaws of both men.

    Output- Margarito. Though I don't think he'll be allowed to get to the number he prefers as often as he has in the past.. I trust that he'll throw more punches than Shane in every round, or close to it.

    Stamina- Margarito throws more punches so I'll give it to him. Both have done great work late in fights.

    Defence- Mosley. Fitting that this category is listed last, as both warriors are offensive-minded fighters, but Shane can slip slower shots when he wants to so the edge goes to him. It's quick fighters that have hit him most in the past.

    The score is 4-4-2. The fight looks a lot closer than Shane getting beat up and stopped late now, doesn't it?

    #2
    any late bets i got margarito

    Comment


      #3
      Does anyone know what Mosley weighs come fight night at WW?? He would be near 160 I suppose

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by Flawless. View Post
        Does anyone know what Mosley weighs come fight night at WW?? He would be near 160 I suppose
        i doubt, mosley should blast maybe to 152 - 154 tops,
        remember he has to lift weights to buff himself to jr welter,
        he is a natural welter, i'd say fight night 6 to 7 lbs increase,
        although margarito would probably outweigh mosley on fight night

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by PROD View Post
          I wrote a 2 part analysis for my blog, designed to present a case for a Mosley victory. You can check it out at if you have some time. It's a very interesting fight. Tony doesn't have all his usual advantages for this one. Size, strength, toughness are a wash, in my opinion. Shane has the athletic advantage, while Tony will be throwing more shots.

          Can't wait!

          Here's a little of what I covered

          Age- Advantage Margarito. He's 30 to Shane's 37. Not much can be argued there. I'll just say that Shane is a dedicated prize fighter, who is always in shape. Tony is a similar kind of gym rat, but he has taken more than his share pf punches over a hard career, and you never know when that can show up.

          Size- Even. Some would say that Antonio is bigger, but I disagree. Sure, Mosley boiled his body down to lightweight, but he was really a welterweight during his reign. Both are 147 lbers who have dabbled in the jr middleweight division. They are also basically eye to eye.

          Power- Mosley has the bigger single shot. Margarito can also punch, but not quite as hard.

          Hand Speed- Mosley, without a doubt.

          Foot Speed- Mosley again, though he plants his feet most of the time these days.

          Body Punching- Margarito goes there more often these days. His commitment to the ribs may bring out some of Mosley's best work downstairs.

          Chin and Durability- Even. There is titanium in the jaws of both men.

          Output- Margarito. Though I don't think he'll be allowed to get to the number he prefers as often as he has in the past.. I trust that he'll throw more punches than Shane in every round, or close to it.

          Stamina- Margarito throws more punches so I'll give it to him. Both have done great work late in fights.

          Defence- Mosley. Fitting that this category is listed last, as both warriors are offensive-minded fighters, but Shane can slip slower shots when he wants to so the edge goes to him. It's quick fighters that have hit him most in the past.

          The score is 4-4-2. The fight looks a lot closer than Shane getting beat up and stopped late now, doesn't it?

          You left out more intangible things. Margarito throws punches that a fighter doesnt expect, these are the ones that hurt a fighter, also throws uppercuts to set up other punches. I believe also he punches harder than most think, he doesnt throw all his punches at the same speed.

          Throwing punches at different speeds is almost like getting hit with a punch you dont see because you can get adjusted to feeling a certain type power and then even if you see a punch coming because it is alot harder, it can have the same shock value to it. I agree it may be closer than the odds indicate but there is more to Margarito that can be missed to the eye untrained.

          Nice blog by the way, good reading.

          Comment


            #6
            Thanks.

            Yeah, this is just a simple breakdown of the physical categories. I covered some intangibles in the article, but it was written to make a case for the underdog.

            Margarito is indeed a beast, and Shane has to be 100% to hang with him. I expect a battle of wills, and think there is a good chance that it will be close on the cards after 12.

            I really can't see a stoppage either way. This is a 12 rounder if ever there was one, IMO.

            Comment


              #7
              Great article. Plenty of good reading too.
              Enjoyed your take on Berto v Collazo as well.

              I hope Shane can get the job done one more time.

              Comment


                #8
                imho mosley's best chance is to jump on him and blast him outta there in the first 4-5 rounds. any longer and he gets ground into dust ala cotto, he does not want a war of attrition....as for pacquiao vs marg....freddie is just making noise, keeping the hype going, he knows they got away with the great train robbery against dlh, it'll never happen freddie is too smart for that.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Good ****.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Thanks.

                    Margarito deserves to be the favourite, and actually I think him grabbing a decision is the most likely scenario, but when it comes down to ONE night... well, we know anything can happen. I'm not sure that Shane is as far gone as some suggest. He didn't look great against Mayorga, but guys are not always 100%. Margarito has had uneven performance before too.

                    I just think that Margarito's strengths were amplified against Cotto, because he backed up all night and he isn't durable enough to take the pressure.

                    Against Shane, he doesn't really have the advantage in some areas where he always get the check mark.

                    I'm looking forward to a great battle of wills from two determined warriors.

                    Comment

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